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AFL: Sydney v GWS
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By tom_sermani

 

 

The Swans will no doubt have revenge on their minds after the embarrassing defeat they suffered at the Giants’ hands in Round 1 and with Kurt Tippett and Ben McGlynn returning they will fancy themselves to put a number on their nearest neighbours. 

The Giants are boosted by the return of Jeremy Cameron who despite looking a bit laboured at times this season still averages 2.3 goals a game which is still top class if not quite up to the standard of 2013 when he averaged 3 goals a game. 

The Swans have been smashed in the betting markets for this match – they were $1.13 and are now as short $1.05, with the line at 51.5 after opening at 39.5.  

 

Sydney

Straight Up: 10/3

ATS: 7/6

Over/Under: 6/7

Average points scored: 95.4

Average points against: 70.4

Average game total: 165.9

Average total points line: 175.2

SCG 2014 S/U: 4/1

SCG 2014 ATS: 2/2

SCG 2014 Over/Under:2/2

1st Quarter 2014 S/U: 10/3

Half Time 2014 S/U: 11/2

7 day+ break 2014 ATS : 4/4

7 day+ break 2012-2014 ATS: 27/18

Night 2014 ATS: 4/3

Night 2012-2014 ATS: 12/14

Home Fav ATS 2014: 1/4

Home Fav 2012-2014 ATS: 15/14

 

Verdict: The Swans have a good record coming off a 7+ day break since 2012 at 27/18. No other strong trends. 

 

GWS

Straight Up: 4/9

ATS: 7/6

Over/Under: 7/6

Average points scored: 85.2

Average points against: 108.5

Average game total: 193.8

Average total points line: 184.3

‘AWAY’ 2014 S/U: 2/4

‘AWAY’ 2014 ATS: 2/4

‘AWAY’ 2014 Over/Under: 4/2

1st Quarter 2014 S/U: 4/9

Half Time 2014 S/U: 4/9

6 day break 2014 ATS: 1/2

6 day break 2012-2014 ATS: 8/6

Night 2014 ATS: 2/0

Night 2012-2014 ATS: 5/2

 

Verdict: GWS’ 5/2 record ATS at night is encouraging for the plus backers but no really strong trends. 

 

Bet Recommendation: 

A lean towards GWS at the line but no strong opinion. 

 

 

 

 

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