AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am preview with Skeeter McGillicuddy
But first a review of last week’s efforts.
Baddeley was lining up a putt on his 9th hole of his first round last week sitting as he was at 4 under – with a chance to post a great first round. He missed of course and shot 69 then played poorly on Friday to miss the cut. J B on the other hand started poorly but posted the best last 54 hole total. Meaningless in a betting context but illustrative of the mad science that is golf.
Over to the west coast to one of America’s, indeed the world’s, most iconic courses having hosted 6 major championships down the years.
In fact they only play twice at Pebble Beach and this is a Pro-Am so some seriously ordinary golf will be played and equally ordinary puns delivered.
The field boats half the worlds top 25 including Spieth and while he doesn’t quite yet make the market like Tiger did he does take out 16% + and that has to help if you’re willing to look elsewhere.
Pebble Beach is notable for its small greens and of course it’s right on the Pacific so wind is often a factor. By modern standards its short at around 6,800 yards so it would appear to not favour the bigger hitters. Which is why Dustbin loves it around here and Jonny Walker and Milky Phil…make what you will of that.
All the market makers have great recent form and really solid form in this event.
Since most of those heading the market would seem to have obvious chances and thus are difficult to separate we will go to the stable once again.
Take a seat J B…. pull up a pew Patrick.…but don’t sit on Aaron’s bible.
Ok so they strike me as an odd bunch to have over for dinner but they do have a lot in common. We have backed them and they have come close, showed glimpses of form or blown up.
Collectively they look like a winner waiting to happen.
Alphabetically then – maybe this is where Aaron Baddeley got his confidence as a kid – he was always top of some list or other. He’ll need it this week after an inexplicably poor 2nd round at Scottsdale. The fact remains he still has 2 top 10’s this season and is putting well. He also has 2 top 10’s around here and clearly likes the place as he turns up every year. As with his selection last week we will put his poor showings the last few years down to tinkering and imagine him getting back to something like the player he can be.
1pt e/w at $176 with
Patrick Reed: has been super consistent until what struck me as going to the well once too often caught up with him at the Career Builder and then he really pushed the boat out at the Famers Insurance only to pull out injured. A couple of weeks off could therefore be just the tonic. He has great recent form overall and in 3 starts around here has a top 10. We also love his abbreviated swing he often uses to great effect so any wind off the Pacific would be welcome.
1 pt e/w at $36 with
J B Holmes:
As mentioned J B was slow out of the gates last week but made yards on the field relentlessly to the wire and would have won in a few more strides. Great current form and a top 10 last year added to a runners up in 2010 look a good recipe.
1 pt e/w at $29 with