Bristol City vs QPR City have certainly merited their recent good results, and have played their part in a terrific season in the Championship in their first season back in it. However, this looks like a much closer match up than the $4 for QPR suggests.
Burton vs IPSWICH Burton have battled their way in to the safety zone with some stirring performances of late. To be fair to them, and Bristol City, they were never that bad in the first place. They’ve created chances all season long, and have only been found wanting of taking more of them. Ipswich, meanwhile, are not out of the woods yet, and will know how to approach this game. $3.6 for them to nick it is a good bet.
MK Dons vs SCUNTHORPE Scunny have demonstrated a terrible propensity to wobble near the top of the ladder and will need to get over that if they’re to win promotion yet. Still, they’ve not become a bad team overnight, and Milton Keynes haven’t become a good one. $3.2 for the away win is good value. (Anything over $3 is worth having).
Shrewsbury vs WALSALL A number of games at this time of season are priced up according to the principle that a team needing points to survive or be promoted are better motivated than opponents with neither threat nor promise to their league status. It’s true that the odd team catches the eye with an end of season run that defies their season’s form, but these are the exceptions that prove the rule. Walsall are a better team than Shrewsbury, so might well beat them. Take them at $3.5
Portsmouth vs PLYMOUTH Portsmouth are rightly favourites for this one, thought it seems extraordinary that Plymouth should be the price that they are. Portsmouth’s home record: won 12, drawn 3, lost 5. Plymouth’s away: won 13, drawn 3, lost 4. Portsmouth are four points behind their opponents in the table. Back Plymouth. Elsewhere, have Blackpool vs ACCRINGTON and Newport vs YEOVIL