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By Vince Eager


The PGA Tour moves to Nevada for the second stop of the 14/15 season and i’m glad we kept our powder dry (WTF does that mean?) last week as the winner – Sang Moon Bae – looked impossible to predict.


TPC Summerlin is an easy scoring track with winning scores of -24, -24 and -23 in the last three renewals so whoever wins will have a barrel load of birdies under their belt come the pointy end of round four on Sunday. 


We will ease ourselves into the season with a confident bet on a reasonably short priced player and a few speculative stabs at 100/1+ players with a bit of course form and the ability to get on a good birdie roll.





Course: TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas, Nevada 

Course Architect: Bobby Weed and Fuzzy Zoeller (1992) 
Par: 71   
Yardage: 7,243 yds   
Acres of fairway: 22   
Greens: Bentgrass; average size: 7,570 sq. ft. 
Stimp: 11 ft 



Last 10 winners

2013 Webb Simpson
2012 Ryan Moore
2011 Kevin Na
2010 Jonathan Byrd
2009 Martin Laird
2008 Marc Turnesa
2007 George McNeill
2006 Troy Matteson
2005 Wes Short Jr
2004 Andre Stolz





Oddy Oddy Oddy Recent and Course Form Ratings
Rank Player Rating Odds Bookmaker
1 Billy Horschel 93.6 $15 Sportsbet
2 Brooks Koepka 92.1 $29 Stan James
3 Webb Simpson 91.2 $26 Stan James
4 Martin Laird 91 $34 Stan James
5 Heath Slocum 88.6 $161 Bet365
6 Ryo Ishikawa 82.4 $81 Boylesports
7 Hudson Swafford 82.3 $101 Bet365
8 Colt Knost 81.5 $126 Stan James
9 Kevin Na 80.5 $34 Stan James
10 Spencer Levin 80 $141 Bet365





Martin Laird 

Screenshot 2014-10-14 14.28.50

Scottish-ish Martin Laird will have gone in plenty a golf punter’s notebook last week as he hit the ball very well to finish 3rd and with a better performance on the par 5s (he was -3 for the four rounds, the winner was -11) he would probably have won the event.

He won this in 2009 and finished 2nd in 2010.

1.5 units unit each way at $34 with Screenshot 2014-10-14 14.37.22






Spencer Levin

Screenshot 2014-10-14 14.41.44

Spencer Levin has struggled with injury over the last few years but a 21st placed finish last week suggests he could be on the way back to full fitness and he has a 4th and a 5th placed finish in this event in the last five years. When he was playing his best golf a few years back he proved he could make plenty of birdies. He needs to keep his fiery temperament in check when things don’t go his way.

.5 units each way at $141 with Screenshot 2014-05-03 13.10.10






Heath Slocum

Screenshot 2014-10-14 14.51.28

Heath Slocum is another play, like Levin, that is looking to return to his best form after a couple of years in the doldrums.

He’s missed the cut in three of his last four attempts here but in 2012, barring a round of 74 in round 3 he could well have won this with other rounds of 67, 67 and 65.

In his last PGA Tour appearance he shot -15 in the low scoring Wyndham Championship and also shot a 64 on the Web.com Tour recently.

.5 units each way at $161 with Screenshot 2014-05-03 13.10.10






Jeff Overton 

Screenshot 2014-10-14 14.57.16

Jeff Overton shot 21 birdies last week in the Frys.com Open which put him tied 2nd for birdies. He finished 9th here last year and 13th in 2013.

0.5 units each war at $101 with Screenshot 2014-05-03 13.10.10

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