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Golf: The Players Championship
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by @betdetective



We got a full place payout on our $51 each way bet on Bryson DeChambeau at the Wells Fargo last week so we are confident heading into the Players Championship this week which sees 144 of the best players in world golf including all of the world’s top 50 tee it up at Pete Dye’s iconic TPC Sawgrass course in Florida.


TPC Sawgrass is a great test of a golfer’s all round ability and the shorter hitters – you know, those that still hit it 50 yards past you or I – cannot be ruled out. 


The stats I zone in on here are bogey avoidance and proximity to the hole.



Our picks:

You need to be able to grind at TPC Sawgrass and one man who can grind with the best is Henrik Stenson. He won here in 2009 and has a couple of other top 5’s too. He is in great form with his last three finishes 4 – 6 – 5. He is #1 on tour in bogey avoidance and T8 in proximity to the hole. Our top pick. 

1 unit each way at $31 with Bet365




We can’t leave Bryson DeChambeau out of the squad after last week and his odds, while perhaps not showing the level of value as last week (same odds, much stronger field) are still worth a nibble. He has three top 5’s now in his last four starts so is in tip top form. He is on debut here which is a negative but the track should suit and he has excellent form at another Pete Dye track, Harbour Town. 

0.5 units each way at $51 with Bet365





Zac Johnson caught the eye with a 5th placed finish two weeks ago and I like his game around here. He is 13th in bogey avoidance and T3 in proximity to the hole. He is overpriced at current quotes. 

0.5 units each way at $67 with Bet365




Another from Skeeter’s barn in Argentinean Emiliano Grillo. He finished 11th here in 2017 after missing the cut the year before and is in decent nick, tied 9th last week plus three other top 10s in the last couple of months. Grillo won on the Web.com tour in 2015 at the Dye Valley Course at this complex. He is 15th in bogey avoidance and T28 in proximity to the hole. 

0.5 units each way at $67 with Bet365



Hunt around for the best odds and place terms – if you are in the UK Paddy Power are going 1st 10 places at 1/5 the odds. Bet365 odds quoted as one of only a few Aus firms up with prices at the moment. 


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