New Zealand vs Parramatta
The Warriors play their first home game of the season when they host an injury ravaged Parramatta Eels on Saturday afternoon.
The Warriors have won 9 of the past 14 clashes at this ground against the Eels, including the last 4 straight.
High scoring has also been the norm, with the last 5 here tallying 40 points or more, as well as 8 of the past 9 at all venues.
Parramatta were very game last week considering their injury toll, however a night out with Robert Allenby would probably be a safer option than investing in the Eels away from home.
The Warriors really should be winning here, however caution needs to be taken with doubts lingering over the availability of playmaker Shaun Johnson, so I’ll side with the Overs in what should be an expansive game.
Verdict: Total Match Points Over 42.5 at $1.93 with
Canberra vs St George
In what may only be a clash for the die-hards, St George travel to the nation’s capital in a bid to kick-start their season on Saturday afternoon against the Raiders.
The Dragons have looked like a park football side over the first two weeks, whilst their opponents have not looked a great deal better despite somehow managing their lone victory.
One thing the hosts do have in their favour is their astonishing record against St George, having won 11 of the past 12 matches at this ground and 17 of the past 20 clashes overall since 2001.
The last 5 clashes here have also registered 40 points or more, so this gives us some hope of a decent game despite both sides attack showing about as much energy and enthusiasm as that of a corpse.
Jack Wighton is a huge omission for the raiders as he has been one of the few highlights and attacking options for the home side thus far, however it does lead me to our play for this match.
Both sides possess genuine aerial threats in winger’s Sisa Waqa and Eto Nabuli, so with few other attacking options I can see a lot of cross field kicks being aimed in their direction, and at around the even money mark each I think they are both value to score a try anytime.
Verdict: Sisa Waqa Anytime Tryscorer at $1.86 with & Eto Nabuli Anytime Tryscorer at $2.10 with
Melbourne vs Sharks
Melbourne return to AAMI Park for their first home game of the season when they face the winless Cronulla Sharks on Saturday evening.
The Storm have a formidable record at home against most opponents, and this holds true against the Sharks having won 10 of the past 14 clashes here including the last 6 straight.
They have also lost just once to the Sharks at all venues since 2008, so it comes as no surprise to see them installed as short priced favourites in this one.
The Sharks have struggled for points having posted double figures on just one occasion in their last 5 visits to this ground, and having been kept tryless last week will be desperate to find some much needed attacking spark.
Unfortunately for the visitors they have limited depth in their halves, so unless they get a wet track I just can’t see how they score enough points to trouble the home side.
The forecast appears good, however it is Melbourne, so for that reason I’ll take the Sharks attacking woes to continue and tip them to score under the nominated team total.
Verdict: Sharks Team Total Under 12.5 at $1.88 with