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Rugby League: State of Origin III
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by @betdetective

Our plan for State of Origin bets over the last two and a bit years has basically been to back Queensland.

Complicated stuff indeed but why change a winning formula? Maroons coach Kevin Walters has no doubt said the same thing to himself a lot since he took the reins from Mal Meninga who probably had the mantra ingrained in his mind for the hugely successful years he was at the helm.


The mental advantage Queensland has over NSW can not be underestimated and despite winning the series in 2014 the Blues have not kicked on at all under Laurie Daley, under whom they have averaged just 10 points per game. 


The fact they are playing Paul Gallen in this dead rubber so he can enjoy some sort of farewell State of Orgin game rather than blood a young forward with next year’s series in mind is indicative of the losers mentality in the Blues’ camp. 


The Blues should forget about the defensive mindset they’ve adopted in recent matches and play the ball quickly in attack as they did in the first half of the opener this year, when they had enough ball to win. 


If they do this, and they would be crazy not to, then this game could well be higher scoring than usual. 


We’ll stick with our winning formula, regardless, with a saver on Gallen for man of the match. If the Blues do win the sentimental nature of the judges may well swing it for Gallen if there is no outstanding performance from one of his teammates. 


1.5 units Queensland +1.5 at $2.0 with Screenshot 2014-05-27 08.55.43

1 unit over 37.5 points at $1.90 with Screenshot 2014-05-27 08.55.43

0.5 units Paul Gallen man of the match at $9.0 with Screenshot 2015-02-28 15.16.54



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